Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models
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Beschreibung
This book discusses the sources of uncertainty in future model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming. It mainly focuses on cloud radiation feedback and ocean dynamical effect, which reveal to be the two greatest sources of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern. Moreover, the book presents a correction for model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern based on the concept of “observational constraints”; the corrected projection exhibits a more El Niño-like warming pattern.
This book discusses the sources of uncertainty in future model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming. It mainly focuses on cloud radiation feedback and ocean dynamical effect, which reveal to be the two greatest sources of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern. Moreover, the book presents a correction for model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern based on the concept of “observational constraints”; the corrected projection exhibits a more El Niño-like warming pattern.
Offers readers a comprehensive understanding of the various formation mechanisms of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern Proposes two major sources of uncertainty in model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming Provides an improved projection of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern by eliminating certain climatological model biases
Autor*in
Jun Ying
Themen in »Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models«
Tropical Pacific SST warming pattern Inter-model uncertainty Climatological evaporation cooling Cloud radiation feedback Ocean dynamical effect Observational constraint climate change climate change impacts