External financing and economic activity in the euro area

Beschreibung

Using a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) identified with a mix of sign and zero restrictions, we show that a restrictive bank loan supply shock has a strong and persistent negative impact on real GDP and the GDP deflator. This result comes about even though flows of other sources of financing, such as equity and debt securities, expand strongly and act as a "spare tire" for the reduction in bank loans. We show that this result can be rationalized by a recently revived view of banking, which holds that banks increase the nominal purchasing power of the economy when they create additional deposits in the act of lending. Consequently, our findings indicate that a substitution of bank loans by other sources of financing might have negative macroeconomic repercussions.
steht auch als elektronisches Dokument zur Verfügung (ISBN 978-3-95729-345-9)

Autor*in

Iñaki Aldasoro

Themen in »External financing and economic activity in the euro area«

Außenfinanzierung Bankkreditangebot Bayesianisches Verfahren

Stimmen zu »External financing and economic activity in the euro area«

Details

Link teilen