wiiw Forecast Report / Autumn 2016
Labour Shortages Driving Economic Growth?
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Beschreibung
In most of the countries from Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE), the current virtuous circle of rising consumption and incomes is expected to continue at least in the near term, accompanied by solid GDP growth to the tune of some 3% p.a. Ongoing labour-market improvements and rising wages will continue to be the main growth driver throughout the region; they will be complemented by a recovery in fixed investments as new EU funds become available. The economies of Russia, other CIS countries (except Belarus) and the Ukraine are expected to bottom out, as the negative shocks of the past two years have already been largely absorbed. Turkey is heading for a ‘soft landing’. These are the main findings of the newly released medium-term macroeconomic forecast by the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw).
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Themen in »wiiw Forecast Report / Autumn 2016«
CESEE CIS Central and East Europe Europe Kazakhstan Russia Southeast Europe Turkey Ukraine Western Balkans consumption-led growth economic forecast external risks growth divergence macroeconomic imbalances