Anthropogenic climate change is one of the greatest challenges of this century. The consumption of fossil energy in industry contributes substantial to GHG-emissions. This publication presents a simulation model that helps to understand and analyze the current use of fuels in industrial applications. Furthermore, it is used to estimate future energy carrier use. It thus contributes to policy design aiming to mitigate climate change.
Anthropogenic climate change is one of the greatest challenges of this century: The consequences of global warming above 1.5°C seriously threaten our civilization. Climate scientists thus agree that the release of greenhouse gases (GHG) to the atmosphere must be reduced by about 50% until 2030 and reach net-zero until 2050. The manufacturing industry is one of the main emitters of GHG in the European Union. This is caused by its reliance on fossil fuels as energy carrier and feedstock. This thesis investigates opportunities for important industrial processes to switch to less GHG-intensive energy carriers. The analysis incorporates technical, economic and behavioural aspects of energy carrier selection. The insights gained inform a bottom-up energy system model, which is used for policy advice on national and European level. One of the main conclusions of this thesis is that vast technical potentials for fuel switching exist and that it may be a substantial pillar of early decarbonisation. The realization of these potentials however requires drastic changes to economic conditions.
Matthias Rehfeldt
Fraunhofer ISI systems analysis & design alternative & renewable energy sources & technology fuel switch industry energy system model simulation climate change energy system modelers industrial engineers environment and economy politicians Energy system modelers Industrial engineers Environment and economy politicians