The question of the future evolution of the Sino-American relationship will play a decisive role in shaping the development of the 21st century.
There are few countries poised to have a more profound impact on the world than the People’s Republic of China. With China having the potential to become an economic, military and political peer competitor for the United States of America. However, ever since the reforms under Deng Xiaoping the two countries have become increasingly interlinked by the free flow of goods, capital, people and ideas, thus relations between the USA and China transcend the narrative of simple rivalry.
Historically, whenever there was a rapid shift in the relative balance of power caused by a rising nation threatening to displace an established hegemon, the result was in most cases war. The underlying mechanisms of this so-called Thucydides trap have changed little since the time of ancient Greece. So, is the Sino-American relationship likewise headed for growing hostility and eventually military conflict or could China truly be able to rise peacefully? Consequently, the future evolution of the Sino-American Relationship will play a decisive role in shaping the development of the 21st century.
Michael Trinkwalder
Michael Trinkwalder erhielt seinen Master in Internationalen Beziehungen von der KU Eichstätt-Ingolstadt und seinen Bachelor in International Business Studies von der Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg.
Sein besonderes Interesse gilt den transatlantischen Beziehungen, der Zukunft der EU, der Gemeinsamen Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik (GASP) und der chinesischen Außenpolitik. Bevor er als studentischer Forschungsassistent zum American Institute for Contemporary German Studies an der Johns Hopkins University kam, arbeitete er als Projektassistent am Aspen Institute Germany und absolvierte Studienaufenthalte sowohl in Großbritannien als auch China.
China USA Thukydides Falle Chinesisch-Amerikanische Beziehungen Sino-American Relationship Thucydides trap