The Tyranny of Uncertainty

Beschreibung

The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It’s the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night—wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises—none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.
The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It’s the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night—wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises—none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.
Explains why risk plans based on experience and statistical models often miss major sources of risk, in areas as diverse as information technology, business, government, environment, healthcare, and economy Provides a blueprint of how to use mathematical emulation to expose and monitor unexpected sources of risk Includes risk management use case examples for IT reengineering projects, business transformation projects, competitive strategy, supply chain management, healthcare, and economy

Autor*in

Nabil Abu el Ata

Themen in »The Tyranny of Uncertainty«

Risk Management Risk Analysis Risk Modeling Dynamic Complexity Risk Mitigation energy security

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“The book offers a detailed and thorough analysis of risk, and a new approach to analyze and approach the mitigation of risks. The techniques described are well worth considering by large organizations utilizing complex systems that evolve over time to adapt to changing conditions.” (G. R. Mayforth, Computing Reviews, February, 2017)

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