This book investigates the causes of the bad performance of many exchange rate models. A structural model of exchange rate determination is estimated in which expectations are proxied by means of rolling regressions. This model is used to determine the optimal way to peg a small European country's exchange rate to the Deutsche Mark.
Eelke de Jong
Erwartungen Wechselkurs Wechselkursänderung Wirtschaftspolitik economic policy monetary union regression