Exploring and Shaping International Futures
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Beschreibung
This Open Access book offers a structured approach to thinking about the future, covering local, global, and cross-sectoral perspectives. It begins by posing three fundamental questions: What futures are normatively desirable? What trajectories do current trends suggest? And how might human agency influence those trajectories? Using the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a reference point, the book examines human, environmental, and sociopolitical development through empirical exploration and long-term scenario analysis.
It also explains and supports usage of the International Futures (IFs) system, a powerful tool for scenario building and policy exploration. The chapters cover population, economics, agriculture, energy, the environment, and governance. Each chapter combines forecasts, model insights, and leverage points for change. The final chapter synthesizes these findings by comparing global scenario sets and encouraging critical thinking about alternative futures. Scholars, analysts, and policymakers will find this book appealing. It combines empirical depth with accessible modeling tools. These tools support education, strategic foresight, and informed decision-making.
This Open Access book offers a structured approach to thinking about the future, covering local, global, and cross-sectoral perspectives. It begins by posing three fundamental questions: What futures are normatively desirable? What trajectories do current trends suggest? And how might human agency influence those trajectories? Using the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a reference point, the book examines human, environmental, and sociopolitical development through empirical exploration and long-term scenario analysis.
It also explains and supports usage of the International Futures (IFs) system, a powerful tool for scenario building and policy exploration. The chapters cover population, economics, agriculture, energy, the environment, and governance. Each chapter combines forecasts, model insights, and leverage points for change. The final chapter synthesizes these findings by comparing global scenario sets and encouraging critical thinking about alternative futures. Scholars, analysts, and policymakers will find this book appealing. It combines empirical depth with accessible modeling tools. These tools support education, strategic foresight, and informed decision-making.
This book is open access, which means that you have free and unlimited access Applies a freely available modeling tool to explore long-term global trends and future scenarios Examines historical data to understand development patterns and identify points of policy influence Uses structured foresight methods to assess possible futures and guide strategic decision-making
Autor*in
Barry B. Hughes
Themen in »Exploring and Shaping International Futures«
Open Access Sustainable development Global futures International Futures system Strategic foresight Human development Scenario analysis Environmental sustainability Policy leverage Integrated assessment models SDGs Systems thinking Long-term forecasting Governance and conflict Development trends