Time Series Forecasting using Machine Learning
Case Studies with R and iForecast
Buch in deiner Nähe kaufen
Beschreibung
This book uses R package, iForecast, to conduct financial economic time series forecasting with machine learning methods, especially the generation of dynamic forecasts out-of-sample. Machine learning methods cover enet, random forecast, gbm, and autoML etc., including binary economic time series. The book explains the problem about the generation of recursive forecasts in machine learning framework, under which, there are no covariates, namely, input (independent) variables. This case is pretty common in real decision environment, for example, the decision-making wants 6-month forecasts in the real future, under which there are no covariates available; therefore, practitioners use recursive or multistep, forecasts. Besides macro-econometric modelling which uses VAR (vector autoregression) to overcome the problem of multivariate regression, this book offers a Machine-Learning VAR routine, which is found to improve the performance of multistep forecasting.
This book uses R package, iForecast, to conduct financial economic time series forecasting with machine learning methods, especially the generation of dynamic forecasts out-of-sample. Machine learning methods cover enet, random forecast, gbm, and autoML etc., including binary economic time series. The book explains the problem about the generation of recursive forecasts in machine learning framework, under which, there are no covariates, namely, input (independent) variables. This case is pretty common in real decision environment, for example, the decision-making wants 6-month forecasts in the real future, under which there are no covariates available; therefore, practitioners use recursive or multistep, forecasts. Besides macro-econometric modelling which uses VAR (vector autoregression) to overcome the problem of multivariate regression, this book offers a Machine-Learning VAR routine, which is found to improve the performance of multistep forecasting.
Instructs on the use of R package iForecast for time series forecasting with machine learning Instructs on the analysis of discrete-valued time series dependent variable in a machine learning framework Instructs on the estimate and multistep forecasts of VAR in a machine learning framework
Autor*in
Tsung-wu Ho
Themen in »Time Series Forecasting using Machine Learning«
economic time series forecasting machine learning, multistep Combination Forecasts Econometric Forecasting Neural network