The Phosphorus Factbook
A Framework for Mid- and Long-Term Supply Security
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Beschreibung
This book provides a conceptual framework, presenting a description and modelling of the regulating mechanisms of supply, demand and supply-demand dynamics, sketches the most relevant classification systems of phosphorus deposits and outlines how they are related and how they should be improved to provide reliable, comparable classification, which is accepted by mining companies, geological surveys, science, industry, politicians and the public. For anticipating how the phosphate reserves are increasing (by increasing market values of phosphorus), we use the Cumulative Availability Curve (CAC) approach. The presented data for supply and demand dynamics reveal that—given our current knowledge—due to the abundance of phosphate rock, sufficient phosphorus supply will be feasible for at least 1000 years. The book stresses desiderata in knowledge and technology development, particularly for the reduction of losses and thus a decrease of negative environmental impacts and an improvement of the use efficiency.
The book is designed as a fact book. For all essential statements e.g.: Mineral phosphorus will be available for at least a millienium rather than 300 years. The total use efficiency of phosphorus is less than 10%, the reader will find solid scientific references or calculations which can be used by researchers, mineral industry and business actors, policymakers, governmental institutions, NGOs, etc.
This book provides a conceptual framework, presenting a description and modelling of the regulating mechanisms of supply, demand and supply-demand dynamics, sketches the most relevant classification systems of phosphorus deposits and outlines how they are related and how they should be improved to provide reliable, comparable classification, which is accepted by mining companies, geological surveys, science, industry, politicians and the public. For anticipating how the phosphate reserves are increasing (by increasing market values of phosphorus), we use the Cumulative Availability Curve (CAC) approach. The presented data for supply and demand dynamics reveal that—given our current knowledge—due to the abundance of phosphate rock, sufficient phosphorus supply will be feasible for at least 1000 years. The book stresses desiderata in knowledge and technology development, particularly for the reduction of losses and thus a decrease of negative environmental impacts and an improvement of the use efficiency.
The book is designed as a fact book. For all essential statements e.g.: Mineral phosphorus will be available for at least a millienium rather than 300 years. The total use efficiency of phosphorus is less than 10%, the reader will find solid scientific references or calculations which can be used by researchers, mineral industry and business actors, policymakers, governmental institutions, NGOs, etc.
With Contributions by Simon J. Hoefer, Iman Asadi, Md. Humayain Kabir, Matthias Raddant Shows phosphorus’ low total use efficiency, critical role in food security, and rising demand (food, energy) Explains resource growth from price rises, tech progress, and geological properties (e.g., Lasky relationship) Identifies feedback cycles boosting circular economy and (organic) waste recycling
Autor*in
Roland W. Scholz
Themen in »The Phosphorus Factbook«
Terrestrial phosphorus deposits Phosphorus for food production Cumulative Availability Curve Supply and demand dynamics Open Access