Clear Thinking
Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers
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Beschreibung
This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
Integrates cognitive psychology with Structured Analytic Techniques to produce high impact intelligence analysis Provides clear and concise guidance for improving decision-making and critical thinking and writing skills Shows how structured techniques are applied to three real-world case studies
Autor*in
Randolph H. Pherson
Themen in »Clear Thinking«
Cyber Threat Intelligence Information security Intelligence Analysis Strategic Intelligence Cognitive biases, heuristics, and intuitive traps Structured Analytic Techniques Risk Analysis Corporate Security Case Studies in Intelligence Critical thinking Analytical thinking skills Analytic Writing and Presentation Analytic tradecraft Decision-making skills Strategic Foresight Analysis