Innovative Decision-Making Techniques von Terry Bresnick Omar Periu 9783031112805 - Buch bei einer unabhängigen Buchhandlung in deiner Nähe kaufen.

Beschreibung

This book provides a blend of quantitative and qualitative approaches to decision making, while also bridging the gap between the theory of how to make good decisions versus how people actually make decisions. The authors present the tools and techniques of decision analysis to learn how to become a FOCCUSSED decision maker:

Identify and properly Frame the decision or problem at hand
Specify the goals, Objectives, and values that you are trying to achieve
Develop creative, meaningful Choices from among which you can choose
Evaluate the Consequences of selecting each alternative using your goals, objectives, and values
Think about the key Uncertainties that could impact the decision
Understand the Swaps and trade-offs that you are willing to make
Develop an approach for implementing your Solution
Elicit the data you’ll need from a variety of sources
and Disseminate and communicate yourdecisions to others.

The authors define a decision as the choice among alternatives, based on how we value and trade-off their pros and cons, made in the face of uncertainty about what will actually happen. The decision-making process is presented as having three pillars to support the decision maker: Preferences–what we prefer, what meets our goals and objectives, and the recognition that preferences are personal to the one making the decision; Alternatives–the choices, options, or courses of action that we have, and over which we have some degree of control; and Information–what we know about the situation, what we don’t know, how we connect choices to outcomes, and how we deal with uncertainty. Key components of good decision-making include how to define your goals and objectives, how to incorporate uncertainties that we all face, and how to develop better alternatives, all of which are discussed. Sophisticated techniques are presented ina way that is accessible to the average decision maker. Probability theory is utilized to improve decisions, and uncertainties are captured in decision trees. Risk avoidance, risk transfer, and risk mitigation are also discussed. Readers will gain a clear understanding of how to articulate the goals and objectives that should be the focal point of any decision.

This book provides a blend of quantitative and qualitative approaches to decision making, while also bridging the gap between the theory of how to make good decisions versus how people actually make decisions. The authors present the tools and techniques of decision analysis to learn how to become a FOCCUSSED decision maker:

Identify and properly Frame the decision or problem at hand
Specify the goals, Objectives, and values that you are trying to achieve
Develop creative, meaningful Choices from among which you can choose
Evaluate the Consequences of selecting each alternative using your goals, objectives, and values
Think about the key Uncertainties that could impact the decision
Understand the Swaps and trade-offs that you are willing to make
Develop an approach for implementing your Solution
Elicit the data you’ll need from a variety of sources
and Disseminate and communicate your decisions to others.

The authors define a decision as the choice among alternatives, based on how we value and trade-off their pros and cons, made in the face of uncertainty about what will actually happen. The decision-making process is presented as having three pillars to support the decision maker: Preferences–what we prefer, what meets our goals and objectives, and the recognition that preferences are personal to the one making the decision; Alternatives–the choices, options, or courses of action that we have, and over which we have some degree of control; and Information–what we know about the situation, what we don’t know, how we connect choices to outcomes, and how we deal with uncertainty. Key components of good decision-making include how to define your goals and objectives, how to incorporate uncertainties that we all face, and how to develop better alternatives, all of which are discussed. Sophisticated techniques are presented in a way that is accessible to the average decision maker. Probability theory is utilized to improve decisions, and uncertainties are captured in decision trees. Risk avoidance, risk transfer, and risk mitigation are also discussed. Readers will gain a clear understanding of how to articulate the goals and objectives that should be the focal point of any decision.
Focuses on simplicity and usability, yet still emphasizes and blends the key quantitative and qualitative components of good decision making Follows a case study through the nine steps of the FOCCUSSED method, which is a simplified approach for including the uncertainties that we all face when making decisions in the short term that will affect us in the long term Illustrates how the tools and techniques used by large organizations can be applied to the decisions that most people face in their personal and business lives

Autor*in

Terry Bresnick

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Value Focused Decision Making Better Decision Making Decision Analysis Decision Theory Operations Management DecisionScapes FOCCUSSED Decision Maker Decision Science Probability

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ISBN: 9783031112805

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Erscheinung: 21.09.2022

Innovative Decision-Making Techniques

A FOCCUSSED Approach

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Beschreibung

Autor*in

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