Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes
Features, Causes, and Effects
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Beschreibung
Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and are defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.
Harold (Hal) L. Vogel was the senior entertainment industry analyst at Merrill Lynch and inducted into Institutional Investor magazine’s All-America Research Team Hall of Fame in 2011. Holder of a PhD in financial economics, he is also a chartered financial analyst (C.F.A.) and served as an adjunct professor at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business. His books include Entertainment Industry Economics: A Guide for Financial Analysis (10th edition 2020) and Travel Industry Economics: A Guide for Financial Analysis (4th edition 2021). He currently heads an independent investment and consulting firm in New York City.
Provides wide-ranging and thorough examples and explanations of how and why bubbles and crashes have historically developed and are tied to money, credit, trust, psychology, risk preferences, behavioral and structural aspects, and social mood
Covers the role of central banks and the relationship to commercial lending
Presents a new descriptive theory and practical empirical approach to the measurement, analysis, and prediction of extreme financial market conditions
Serves as a handy scholarly reference for further studies via extensive surveys of previous academic research and history and updates through the 2020 virus-related crash and remarkable rebound
Provides wide-ranging and thorough examples and explanations of how and why bubbles and crashes have historically developed and are tied to money, credit, trust, psychology, risk preferences, behavioral and structural aspects, and social mood Covers the role of central banks and the relationship to commercial lending Presents a new descriptive theory and practical empirical approach to the measurement, analysis, and prediction of extreme financial market conditions Serves as a handy scholarly reference for further studies via extensive surveys of previous academic research and history and updates through the 2020 virus-related crash and remarkable rebound
Autor*in
Harold L. Vogel
Themen in »Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes«
Market bubbles Market crashes Financial crisis financial asset price bubbles efficient markets capital asset pricing models econometric methods behavioral risk efficient-market hypothesis central banks Financial asset bubble theory
Stimmen zu »Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes«
“Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes (2nd Edition) is as comprehensive a book on this subject as one could wish ... and the prose makes for breezy reading … Anyone interested in finance should own it.” (Robert R. Prechter, CEO, Elliot Wave International, USA)
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