What About the Future?
New Perspectives on Planning, Forecasting and Complexity
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Beschreibung
This book closely examines the concept and theory of 'future' from a multidisciplinary perspective, focusing on the practice of forecasting, especially in its interaction with complexity. It highlights the relations between forecasting, decision-making and strategy, mixing technical arguments (but minimal mathematics) with ideas from psychology and philosophy. Rich with examples, the book highlights the role of values and attitudes in deciding how to look at the future.
Written in a casual but precise style that makes the ideas easily digestible, it helps corporate strategists, practicing futurists, and researchers in the field of strategy or public planning gain a fundamental perspective on the future – before starting to predict things.This book closely examines the concept and theory of 'future' from a multidisciplinary perspective, focusing on the practice of forecasting, especially in its interaction with complexity. It highlights the relations between forecasting, decision-making and strategy, mixing technical arguments (but minimal mathematics) with ideas from psychology and philosophy. Rich with examples, the book highlights the role of values and attitudes in deciding how to look at the future.
Written in a casual but precise style that makes the ideas easily digestible, it helps corporate strategists, practicing futurists, and researchers in the field of strategy or public planning gain a fundamental perspective on the future – before starting to predict things.
Prepares readers to think about the future of their businesses, society, and their own lives Brings together multidisciplinary perspectives to revisit the concept and understanding of the future Helps with proper understanding of planning, forecasting to reduce organizational stress and personal anxiety
Autor*in
Fred Phillips
Themen in »What About the Future?«
Theory of forecasting Risk and uncertainty Fuzzy goals and firm values Forecasting and decision making Linguistic determinism and technology colonization Political psychology of complexity Price-performance curves Trend extrapolation