Forecast Verification

Beschreibung

Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in AtmosphericScience, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to thisarea of active research by combining depth of information with arange of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners andresearchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded inpresenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in thefield while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style.The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and usefuldiscussion of the main application areas. Reviews of first edition: "This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend itespecially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecastsystems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society;April 2004) "...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...wellorganized and clearly written..." (Royal StatisticalSociety, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005) NEW to the second edition: * Completely updated chapter on the Verification of SpatialForecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in thearea * New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts andEnsemble Forecasts * Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events andWarnings * Includes new chapter on Seasonal and ClimateForecasts * Includes new Appendix on Verification Software Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colourfor visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories -see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation,verification and recalibration of ternary probabilisticforecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).

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Ian T. Jolliffe

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Earth Sciences Geowissenschaften Meteorologie Meteorology

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