Risk and uncertainty are key features of most business and government problems and need to be understood for rational decisions to be made. Quantitative risk analysis, using Monte Carlo simulation, offers the user a powerful and precise method for assimilating the various uncertainties of a problem and producing a realistic appreciation of the problem's total uncertainty. This book guides the reader through all the essential steps to producing an accurate risk analysis model.
David Vose
Monte-Carlo-Methode Risikoanalyse