Tools to improve decision making in an imperfect world
This publication provides readers with a thorough understanding ofBayesian analysis that is grounded in the theory of inference andoptimal decision making. Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics andStatistics provides readers with state-of-the-art simulationmethods and models that are used to solve complex real-worldproblems. Armed with a strong foundation in both theory andpractical problem-solving tools, readers discover how to optimizedecision making when faced with problems that involve limited orimperfect data.
The book begins by examining the theoretical and mathematicalfoundations of Bayesian statistics to help readers understand howand why it is used in problem solving. The author then describeshow modern simulation methods make Bayesian approaches practicalusing widely available mathematical applications software. Inaddition, the author details how models can be applied to specificproblems, including:
* Linear models and policy choices
* Modeling with latent variables and missing data
* Time series models and prediction
* Comparison and evaluation of models
The publication has been developed and fine- tuned through a decadeof classroom experience, and readers will find the author'sapproach very engaging and accessible. There are nearly 200examples and exercises to help readers see how effective use ofBayesian statistics enables them to make optimal decisions. MATLAB?and R computer programs are integrated throughout the book. Anaccompanying Web site provides readers with computer code for manyexamples and datasets.
This publication is tailored for research professionals who useeconometrics and similar statistical methods in their work. Withits emphasis on practical problem solving and extensive use ofexamples and exercises, this is also an excellent textbook forgraduate-level students in a broad range of fields, includingeconomics, statistics, the social sciences, business, and publicpolicy.
John Geweke
Bayesian Analysis Bayes-Verfahren Econometrics Economics Finanz- u. Wirtschaftsstatistik Ökonometrie Statistics Statistics for Finance, Business & Economics Statistik Volkswirtschaftslehre
"This book has the potentials to become a classic for teaching(Computational) Bayesian Econometrics...the book will be avaluable reference for all people working in the field of MCMC"(Stat Papers, October 2008)
"Written by a recognized scholar...this book fills a void eventhough a number of recent titles have been published on a similarscope." (E-STREAMS, September 2007)
"I enjoyed reading [it]...and think it would make a greattextbook for a Bayesian course at the graduate level in finance,business, marketing, and the social sciences...the book is alsoa great reference..." (Journal of the American StatisticalAssociation, September 2006)
"This book is tailored for researchers-professionals who useeconometrics and statistics in their research...is also anexcellent textbook for graduate students in a broad range offields." (Mathematical Reviews, 2006d)
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