Probably Not

Beschreibung

An engaging, entertaining, and informative introduction toprobability and prediction in our everyday lives Although Probably Not deals with probability and statistics, itis not heavily mathematical and is not filled with complexderivations, proofs, and theoretical problem sets. This bookunveils the world of statistics through questions such as what isknown based upon the information at hand and what can be expectedto happen. While learning essential concepts including "theconfidence factor" and "random walks," readers will be entertainedand intrigued as they move from chapter to chapter. Moreover, theauthor provides a foundation of basic principles to guide decisionmaking in almost all facets of life including playing games,developing winning business strategies, and managing personalfinances. Much of the book is organized around easy-to-follow examplesthat address common, everyday issues such as: * How travel time is affected by congestion, driving speed, andtraffic lights * Why different gambling casino strategies ultimately offerplayers no advantage * How to estimate how many different birds of one species are seenon a walk through the woods Seemingly random events--coin flip games, the Central LimitTheorem, binomial distributions and Poisson distributions,Parrando's Paradox, and Benford's Law--are addressed andtreated through key concepts and methods in probability. Inaddition, fun-to-solve problems including "the shared birthday" and"the prize behind door number one, two, or three" are foundthroughout the book, which allow readers to test and practice theirnew probability skills. Requiring little background knowledge ofmathematics, readers will gain a greater understanding of the manydaily activities and events that involve random processes andstatistics. Combining the mathematics of probability with real-worldexamples, Probably Not is an ideal reference for practitioners andstudents who would like to learn more about the role of probabilityand statistics in everyday decision making.

Autor*in

Lawrence N. Dworsky

Themen in »Probably Not«

Angewandte Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung u. Statistik Applied Probability & Statistics Probability & Mathematical Statistics Statistics Statistik Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung u. mathematische Statistik

Stimmen zu »Probably Not«

"The book is a very good tool for students and specialists indifferent areas who do not like advanced statistics, but areobliged to understand, a least partly, the process of decisionmaking." (International Statistical Review, December 2008) "The fact that Dworsky uses examples from many fields, anddiscusses topics not usually covered in beginning course, may alsoincrease student interest in pursuing statistics at a more advancedlevel." (MAA Reviews, July 2008)
()

Details

Link teilen